We discuss an approach of robust fitting on non-linear regression models, in both frequentist and Bayesian approaches, which can be employed to model and predict the contagion dynamics of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Italy. The focus is on the analysis of epidemic data using robust dose–response curves, but the functionality is applicable to arbitrary non-linear regression models.

Robust inference for non-linear regression models from the Tsallis score: Application to coronavirus disease 2019 contagion in Italy

Greco L.;
2020-01-01

Abstract

We discuss an approach of robust fitting on non-linear regression models, in both frequentist and Bayesian approaches, which can be employed to model and predict the contagion dynamics of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Italy. The focus is on the analysis of epidemic data using robust dose–response curves, but the functionality is applicable to arbitrary non-linear regression models.
2020
influence function
model misspecification
non-linear regression
reference prior
SARS-CoV-2 disease
scoring rules
File in questo prodotto:
Non ci sono file associati a questo prodotto.

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12070/45998
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 8
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? ND
social impact