The paper analyzes the problem of the optimal procurement plan at a strategie level for a set of prosumers aggregated within a coalition. Electric energy needs can be covered through bilatera! contracts, self-production and the pool. Sign­ing bilatera! contracts reduces the risk associated with the volatility of pool prices usually incurring higher average prices. Self-producing also reduces the risk related to pool prices. On the other band, relying mostly on the pool might result in an unacceptable volatility of procurement cost. Tue problem of defining the right mix among the different sources is complicated by the high uncertainty affecting the para­meters involved in the decision process (future market prices, energy demand, self­production from renewable sources). We address this more challenging problem by adopting the stochastic programming framework. Tue resulting model belongs to the class of two-stage model with recourse. The computational results carried out by considering a real case study shows the validity of the proposed approach.

The Optimal Energy Procurement Problem: A Stochastic Programming Approach

Violi A.
;
2017-01-01

Abstract

The paper analyzes the problem of the optimal procurement plan at a strategie level for a set of prosumers aggregated within a coalition. Electric energy needs can be covered through bilatera! contracts, self-production and the pool. Sign­ing bilatera! contracts reduces the risk associated with the volatility of pool prices usually incurring higher average prices. Self-producing also reduces the risk related to pool prices. On the other band, relying mostly on the pool might result in an unacceptable volatility of procurement cost. Tue problem of defining the right mix among the different sources is complicated by the high uncertainty affecting the para­meters involved in the decision process (future market prices, energy demand, self­production from renewable sources). We address this more challenging problem by adopting the stochastic programming framework. Tue resulting model belongs to the class of two-stage model with recourse. The computational results carried out by considering a real case study shows the validity of the proposed approach.
2017
978-3-319-67307-3
978-3-319-67308-0
Energy procurement; Risk management; Stochastic programming
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12070/42398
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